Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000099 0.000109 0.000119 0.000131 0.000145 0.000159 0.000176
2026-02-01 0.000079 0.000093 0.000110 0.000131 0.000155 0.000184 0.000221
2026-02-08 0.000066 0.000082 0.000102 0.000128 0.000162 0.000203 0.000259
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000074 0.000096 0.000125 0.000165 0.000218 0.000293
2026-02-22 0.000051 0.000069 0.000093 0.000126 0.000174 0.000239 0.000336
2026-03-01 0.000047 0.000066 0.000091 0.000129 0.000184 0.000262 0.000385
2026-03-08 0.000042 0.000061 0.000086 0.000126 0.000185 0.000273 0.000416
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000056 0.000081 0.000121 0.000184 0.000280 0.000441
2026-03-22 0.000036 0.000053 0.000080 0.000123 0.000191 0.000300 0.000489
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000051 0.000079 0.000124 0.000199 0.000321 0.000540
2026-04-05 0.000031 0.000048 0.000076 0.000122 0.000201 0.000332 0.000576
2026-04-12 0.000029 0.000046 0.000074 0.000122 0.000205 0.000349 0.000623
2026-04-19 0.000027 0.000044 0.000071 0.000120 0.000207 0.000361 0.000664
2026-04-26 0.000025 0.000042 0.000069 0.000120 0.000212 0.000380 0.000721
2026-05-03 0.000023 0.000040 0.000067 0.000118 0.000214 0.000393 0.000767
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000037 0.000064 0.000115 0.000213 0.000402 0.000807
2026-05-17 0.000021 0.000036 0.000063 0.000116 0.000220 0.000425 0.000880
2026-05-24 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000118 0.000230 0.000455 0.000969
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000115 0.000229 0.000463 0.001012
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000031 0.000057 0.000112 0.000225 0.000465 0.001042
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000113 0.000232 0.000490 0.001129
2026-06-21 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000114 0.000240 0.000518 0.001225
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000028 0.000055 0.000112 0.000240 0.000529 0.001282